Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

156.85 – 264.39

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

158 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 73.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.9 ±17

4179Tahisco Techs

Provisional

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 26.41Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

4013Clockwork Mania

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 117.12Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3164Stealth Tigers

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 13.32Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 558.7 ±12.4

2797Knight & Nerdy

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX -2.82Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

386Team Voltage

Season APEX 199Event APEX 124.1Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 143.11Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4179, 4013, 3164

/ 100 compat

Projected

156.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4179, 4013, 3164

Auto

24.3 16%

Teleop

83.3 55%

Endgame

43.0 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2797, 386, 6647

/ 100 compat

Projected

264.4 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2797, 386, 6647

Auto

52.0 19%

Teleop

144.7 53%

Endgame

75.0 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score156.9pts

Blue projected score264.4pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -107.5
Score range: 125–296
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 569 vs event baseline 175.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.9Season APEX558.7

24.3Auto52

83.3Teleop144.7

43Endgame75

50Consistency48

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	60
teleop	71	257
endgame	76	94
foul	0	0
total	158	411

Result

Final score

158 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 73.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.