Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.06 – 139.19

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.6 ±17.7

9698Zipbombs of BGCNF

Provisional

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 5.17Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6473Rock Star Robotics

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 18.93Rank 43Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

8753Spectre

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 24.96Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 268.3 ±14.5

8324MECO Robotics

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 61.01Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5276Edgar Allan Ohms

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 38.12Rank 26Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

21ComBBAT

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 40.06Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9698, 6473, 8753

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9698, 6473, 8753

Auto

18.6 41%

Teleop

24.3 53%

Endgame

2.6 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8324, 5276, 21

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.2 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8324, 5276, 21

Auto

27.5 21%

Teleop

79.3 59%

Endgame

26.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score49.1pts

Blue projected score139.2pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90.1
Score range: 17–171
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 176.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.6Season APEX268.3

18.6Auto27.5

24.3Teleop79.3

2.6Endgame26.7

75Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	71
teleop	26	87
endgame	20	23
foul	0	15
total	57	196

Result

Final score

57 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.