Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.97 – 373.92

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

142 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 40 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 267.6 ±12.9

5816Gra-V Robotics

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX -9.41Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 92.58Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7431Wingspan

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 37.8Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 519.8 ±11.9

6722LED Robotics

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 91.74Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4065Nerds of Prey

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 155.06Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

364Team Fusion 364

Season APEX 200.2Event APEX 127.12Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5816, 5410, 7431

/ 100 compat

Projected

121 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5816, 5410, 7431

Auto

17.9 14%

Teleop

71.5 58%

Endgame

34.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6722, 4065, 364

/ 100 compat

Projected

373.9 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6722, 4065, 364

Auto

43.5 12%

Teleop

240.3 66%

Endgame

80.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score121pts

Blue projected score373.9pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -252.9
Score range: 89–406
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 457 vs event baseline 175.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

267.6Season APEX519.8

17.9Auto43.5

71.5Teleop240.3

34.6Endgame80.2

0Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	60
teleop	65	170
endgame	58	80
foul	0	5
total	142	315

Result

Final score

142 – 315

Prediction correct · off by 40 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.