Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

115.6 – 43.64

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

157 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.6 ±19.3

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 91.28Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9698Zipbombs of BGCNF

Provisional

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 13.73Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

3164Stealth Tigers

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 10.59Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 139.6 ±22.5

10996SRC Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 24.35Rank 45Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9493TechWasps923

Provisional

Season APEX 19.2Event APEX 9.74Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10471Gamarobotics

Provisional

Season APEX 76.8Event APEX 9.55Rank 25Record 4-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7130, 9698, 3164

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.6 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7130, 9698, 3164

Auto

28.7 26%

Teleop

48.1 44%

Endgame

32.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10996, 9493, 10471

/ 100 compat

Projected

43.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10996, 9493, 10471

Auto

13.8 35%

Teleop

11.7 29%

Endgame

14.5 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score115.6pts

Blue projected score43.6pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72
Score range: 7–153
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 178 vs event baseline 206.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

281.6Season APEX139.6

28.7Auto13.8

48.1Teleop11.7

32Endgame14.5

38Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	14
teleop	88	4
endgame	40	3
foul	0	0
total	157	21

Result

Final score

157 – 21

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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