Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

109.57 – 246.6

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.8 ±16.8

3502Octo(PI)Rates

Provisional

Season APEX 67.5Event APEX 8.24Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

8841OTTER

Season APEX 127.7Event APEX 84.73Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5816Gra-V Robotics

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 16.6Rank 39Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.5 ±13

8753Spectre

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 22.29Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 167.13Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9313ROBOhana

Season APEX 83Event APEX 57.18Rank 31Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3502, 8841, 5816

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3502, 8841, 5816

Auto

24.0 21%

Teleop

52.7 47%

Endgame

35.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8753, 6647, 9313

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8753, 6647, 9313

Auto

41.3 17%

Teleop

158.8 64%

Endgame

49.2 20%

Strengths

· 6647 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score109.6pts

Blue projected score246.6pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -137
Score range: 78–279
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 286 vs event baseline 179.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.8Season APEX409.5

24Auto41.3

52.7Teleop158.8

35.3Endgame49.2

42Consistency139

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	50
teleop	22	113
endgame	0	84
foul	0	0
total	39	247

Result

Final score

39 – 247

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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