Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

300.94 – 67.27

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

504 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 146.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 618.4 ±11.2

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 167.13Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4065Nerds of Prey

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 113.48Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10219Bathtub Chickens

Season APEX 109.5Event APEX 20.33Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.7 ±20

10996SRC Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -13Rank 45Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9720Metal Head Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 89.9Event APEX 19.44Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

4013Clockwork Mania

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 60.83Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2992, 4065, 10219

/ 100 compat

Projected

300.9 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2992, 4065, 10219

Auto

55.8 19%

Teleop

161.3 54%

Endgame

80.6 27%

Strengths

· 2992 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10996, 9720, 4013

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.3 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10996, 9720, 4013

Auto

10.4 15%

Teleop

32.0 46%

Endgame

27.9 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.66 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score300.9pts

Blue projected score67.3pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 233.7
Score range: 35–333
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 662 vs event baseline 176.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

618.4Season APEX242.7

55.8Auto10.4

161.3Teleop32

80.6Endgame27.9

142Consistency92

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	73	17
teleop	335	94
endgame	91	42
foul	5	5
total	504	158

Result

Final score

504 – 158

Prediction correct · off by 146.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.