Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

121.92 – 37.29

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.7 ±14.5

4576Red Nation Robotics

Season APEX 115.6Event APEX 54.61Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

801Horsepower

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 25.52Rank 29Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5276Edgar Allan Ohms

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 41.79Rank 26Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 145 ±20.5

9627Yellow Haze

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 13.06Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9493TechWasps923

Provisional

Season APEX 19.2Event APEX 6.12Rank 44Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

6473Rock Star Robotics

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 18.11Rank 43Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4576, 801, 5276

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.9 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4576, 801, 5276

Auto

28.1 23%

Teleop

65.0 53%

Endgame

29.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9627, 9493, 6473

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.3 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9627, 9493, 6473

Auto

9.6 29%

Teleop

12.8 39%

Endgame

10.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.12 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score121.9pts

Blue projected score37.3pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.6
Score range: 4–155
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 182.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.7Season APEX145

28.1Auto9.6

65Teleop12.8

29.6Endgame10.4

101Consistency138

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	12
teleop	158	6
endgame	36	13
foul	15	0
total	250	31

Result

Final score

250 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 67.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.