Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

216.84 – 189.47

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

352 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 87.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 429.1 ±12.2

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 76.19Rank 9Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

108SigmaC@T Robotics Team

Season APEX 168.6Event APEX 127.52Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

86Team Resistance

Season APEX 141.4Event APEX 13.13Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 257.5 ±14.5

3164Stealth Tigers

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 69.9Rank 36Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

8753Spectre

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 9.15Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8841OTTER

Season APEX 127.7Event APEX 110.42Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5410, 108, 86

/ 100 compat

Projected

216.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5410, 108, 86

Auto

49.8 23%

Teleop

134.2 62%

Endgame

32.4 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3164, 8753, 8841

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.5 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 3164, 8753, 8841

Auto

23.8 12%

Teleop

103.4 54%

Endgame

63.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score216.8pts

Blue projected score189.5pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.4
Score range: 157–249
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 501 vs event baseline 177.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

429.1Season APEX257.5

49.8Auto23.8

134.2Teleop103.4

32.4Endgame63.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	25
teleop	196	76
endgame	104	43
foul	5	5
total	352	149

Result

Final score

352 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 87.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.