Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

149.96 – 255.02

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

191 – 283

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.5 ±16.3

7431Wingspan

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 79.1Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

8324MECO Robotics

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 9.98Rank 32Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7130Future Shock

Season APEX 131.5Event APEX 60.88Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 490.1 ±15.3

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 143.46Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4118Roaring Riptide

Provisional

Season APEX 113.7Event APEX 65.37Rank 11Record 7-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4013Clockwork Mania

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 46.19Rank 16Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7431, 8324, 7130

/ 100 compat

Projected

150 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7431, 8324, 7130

Auto

28.6 20%

Teleop

96.2 66%

Endgame

20.5 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6647, 4118, 4013

/ 100 compat

Projected

255 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6647, 4118, 4013

Auto

31.0 12%

Teleop

164.4 64%

Endgame

61.4 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score150pts

Blue projected score255pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -105.1
Score range: 118–287
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 474 vs event baseline 176.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.5Season APEX490.1

28.6Auto31

96.2Teleop164.4

20.5Endgame61.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	66
teleop	130	140
endgame	26	77
foul	0	0
total	191	283

Result

Final score

191 – 283

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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