Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.82 – 154.8

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

303 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 118 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 456.7 ±12.4

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 138.75Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2797Knight & Nerdy

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 37.83Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

5472The Wyld Stallyns

Season APEX 99.5Event APEX 26.24Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.3 ±22.5

9627Yellow Haze

Provisional

Season APEX 72.1Event APEX 51.7Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9698Zipbombs of BGCNF

Provisional

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 34.51Rank 23Record 5-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10159PHS MAC-ros

Provisional

Season APEX 26.6Event APEX 68.59Rank 40Record 3-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2992, 2797, 5472

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2992, 2797, 5472

Auto

32.1 16%

Teleop

99.8 49%

Endgame

73.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9627, 9698, 10159

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9627, 9698, 10159

Auto

28.4 19%

Teleop

92.3 62%

Endgame

27.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.95 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score202.8pts

Blue projected score154.8pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 48
Score range: 123–235
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 176.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

456.7Season APEX178.3

32.1Auto28.4

99.8Teleop92.3

73.1Endgame27.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	16
teleop	195	3
endgame	76	0
foul	0	0
total	303	19

Result

Final score

303 – 19

Prediction correct · off by 118 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.