Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

418.41 – 338.54

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

459 – 377

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 715.6 ±11.2

10162Viking Robotics

Season APEX 183.7Event APEX -1.16Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6647PrepaTec - VOLTEC

Season APEX 267.2Event APEX 194.41Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2992The S.S. Prometheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 225.16Rank 2Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 486.1 ±11.7

4065Nerds of Prey

Season APEX 244.2Event APEX 147.56Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

21ComBBAT

Season APEX 73.3Event APEX 36.53Rank 27Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

108SigmaC@T Robotics Team

Season APEX 168.6Event APEX 154.45Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10162, 6647, 2992

/ 100 compat

Projected

418.4 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10162, 6647, 2992

Auto

99.2 24%

Teleop

233.1 56%

Endgame

84.6 20%

Strengths

· 2992 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4065, 21, 108

/ 100 compat

Projected

338.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4065, 21, 108

Auto

58.9 17%

Teleop

188.4 56%

Endgame

89.3 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score418.4pts

Blue projected score338.5pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample166alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 79.9
Score range: 302–455
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 836 vs event baseline 203.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

715.6Season APEX486.1

99.2Auto58.9

233.1Teleop188.4

84.6Endgame89.3

25Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	129	72
teleop	240	197
endgame	90	108
foul	0	0
total	459	377

Result

Final score

459 – 377

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 pts

Match videos

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