Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

199.51 – 145.86

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

204 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 7.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.7 ±15.3

386Team Voltage

Season APEX 199Event APEX 78.31Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10211Cyber Colts

Season APEX 56Event APEX 22.97Rank 40Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

8841OTTER

Season APEX 127.7Event APEX 98.23Rank 5Record 6-1-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.8 ±12.8

801Horsepower

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 59.3Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

10219Bathtub Chickens

Season APEX 109.5Event APEX 38.86Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 47.7Rank 19Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 386, 10211, 8841

/ 100 compat

Projected

199.5 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 386, 10211, 8841

Auto

36.8 19%

Teleop

117.0 59%

Endgame

43.2 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 801, 10219, 5410

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 801, 10219, 5410

Auto

43.8 30%

Teleop

82.2 56%

Endgame

21.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score199.5pts

Blue projected score145.9pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.6
Score range: 124–222
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 360 vs event baseline 120.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.7Season APEX320.8

36.8Auto43.8

117Teleop82.2

43.2Endgame21.6

8Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	22
teleop	94	89
endgame	51	45
foul	0	0
total	204	156

Result

Final score

204 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 7.3 pts

Match videos

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