Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

229.73 – 160.05

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

350 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 80.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 545.2 ±11

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 96.82Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 121.36Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5816Gra-V Robotics

Season APEX 65.6Event APEX 11.55Rank 18Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.8 ±12.8

801Horsepower

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 66.72Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 51.36Rank 19Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10219Bathtub Chickens

Season APEX 109.5Event APEX 41.97Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3932, 8159, 5816

/ 100 compat

Projected

229.7 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3932, 8159, 5816

Auto

47.7 21%

Teleop

130.8 57%

Endgame

51.5 22%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 801, 5410, 10219

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.1 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 801, 5410, 10219

Auto

41.4 26%

Teleop

88.9 55%

Endgame

32.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score229.7pts

Blue projected score160.1pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 69.7
Score range: 139–251
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 469 vs event baseline 114.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

545.2Season APEX320.8

47.7Auto41.4

130.8Teleop88.9

51.5Endgame32

37Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	48
teleop	167	57
endgame	46	9
foul	80	5
total	350	119

Result

Final score

350 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 80.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.