Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

149.54 – 60

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

222 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 93.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 491.8 ±12.9

7072O.G.R.E. (Opelika's Greatest Robotics Engineers)

Season APEX 100.6Event APEX 27.4Rank 22Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 86.59Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1902Exploding Bacon

Season APEX 189.9Event APEX 35.55Rank 9Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.9 ±17.7

5842Royal Robotics

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 42.38Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

11282Tri-Force

Provisional

Season APEX 62Event APEX -3.49Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6722LED Robotics

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 21.11Rank 54Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7072, 3932, 1902

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.5 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7072, 3932, 1902

Auto

23.1 16%

Teleop

83.8 56%

Endgame

41.7 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5842, 11282, 6722

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5842, 11282, 6722

Auto

10.1 17%

Teleop

33.3 56%

Endgame

16.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.01 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score149.5pts

Blue projected score60pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.5
Score range: 41–169
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 397 vs event baseline 108.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

491.8Season APEX219.9

23.1Auto10.1

83.8Teleop33.3

41.7Endgame16

42Consistency95

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	18
teleop	144	84
endgame	53	68
foul	0	5
total	222	175

Result

Final score

222 – 175

Prediction correct · off by 93.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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