Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.47 – 94.24

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 82

Prediction missed · off by 15.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.3 ±19

4024TechnoSaints

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 9.69Rank 35Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

11363Pickle Squad

Provisional

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 17.06Rank 32Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

233The Pink Team

Season APEX 212.2Event APEX 63.72Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.6 ±17.7

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 29.05Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10323DeMolay Dynamics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 20.42Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

10219Bathtub Chickens

Season APEX 109.5Event APEX 44.77Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4024, 11363, 233

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 4024, 11363, 233

Auto

13.9 16%

Teleop

35.4 41%

Endgame

36.3 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9160, 10323, 10219

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9160, 10323, 10219

Auto

16.7 17%

Teleop

47.1 49%

Endgame

31.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score90.5pts

Blue projected score94.2pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.8
Score range: 71–113
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 191 vs event baseline 107.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.3Season APEX254.6

13.9Auto16.7

35.4Teleop47.1

36.3Endgame31.9

43Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	22
teleop	43	37
endgame	35	23
foul	15	0
total	109	82

Result

Final score

109 – 82

Prediction missed · off by 15.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.