Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.51 – 114.64

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 299 ±19.3

155712 Volt Bolt

Provisional

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 30.36Rank 51Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7717Steam Punks

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 28.17Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

10211Cyber Colts

Season APEX 56Event APEX 27.98Rank 40Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.4 ±17.3

1744Robo-Rays Robotics

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 32.6Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

9750ED Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 6.19Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

386Team Voltage

Season APEX 199Event APEX 75.85Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1557, 7717, 10211

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.5 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1557, 7717, 10211

Auto

15.1 17%

Teleop

45.5 52%

Endgame

26.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1744, 9750, 386

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1744, 9750, 386

Auto

27.3 25%

Teleop

60.8 55%

Endgame

23.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score86.5pts

Blue projected score114.6pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.1
Score range: 68–134
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 232 vs event baseline 108.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

299Season APEX354.4

15.1Auto27.3

45.5Teleop60.8

26.9Endgame23.3

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	21
teleop	45	87
endgame	31	38
foul	0	0
total	86	146

Result

Final score

86 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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