Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.3 – 99.34

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 187.8 ±22.5

10017GPS Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX -3.01Rank 57Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11282Tri-Force

Provisional

Season APEX 62Event APEX -4.77Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6527RamShock

Provisional

Season APEX 65Event APEX 26.08Rank 50Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.6 ±19.7

386Team Voltage

Season APEX 199Event APEX 71.84Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 30.91Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10650Robonoles Robotics Team

Provisional

Season APEX 55.3Event APEX -3.41Rank 43Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10017, 11282, 6527

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.3 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 10017, 11282, 6527

Auto

18.4 86%

Teleop

-0.3 0%

Endgame

3.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 386, 9160, 10650

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 386, 9160, 10650

Auto

26.3 27%

Teleop

47.3 48%

Endgame

24.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score18.3pts

Blue projected score99.3pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81
Score range: -1–118
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 171 vs event baseline 106.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

187.8Season APEX313.6

18.4Auto26.3

-0.3Teleop47.3

3.3Endgame24

24Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	15
teleop	13	62
endgame	10	38
foul	15	0
total	56	115

Result

Final score

56 – 115

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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