Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

112.68 – 4.44

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

170 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 276.7 ±17.2

86Team Resistance

Season APEX 141.4Event APEX 48.01Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5842Royal Robotics

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 36.28Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

155712 Volt Bolt

Provisional

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 28.39Rank 51Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.5 ±18.2

79Team 79 Krunch

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 3.96Rank 55Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9300Olympians

Provisional

Season APEX 32.6Event APEX -14.07Rank 56Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

10323DeMolay Dynamics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 14.55Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 86, 5842, 1557

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 86, 5842, 1557

Auto

16.6 15%

Teleop

62.9 57%

Endgame

31.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 79, 9300, 10323

/ 100 compat

Projected

4.4 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 79, 9300, 10323

Auto

6.3 100%

Teleop

-1.7 0%

Endgame

-0.7 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score112.7pts

Blue projected score4.4pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 108.2
Score range: -15–132
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 231 vs event baseline 106.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

276.7Season APEX232.5

16.6Auto6.3

62.9Teleop-1.7

31.2Endgame-0.7

59Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	15
teleop	109	19
endgame	36	27
foul	0	0
total	170	61

Result

Final score

170 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.