Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

53.28 – 24.71

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

47 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 11.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 194.5 ±20.5

9750ED Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 7.71Rank 25Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7072O.G.R.E. (Opelika's Greatest Robotics Engineers)

Season APEX 100.6Event APEX 35.16Rank 22Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

11103Redshift Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 10.41Rank 26Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.8 ±18.2

11363Pickle Squad

Provisional

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 14.72Rank 32Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

7431Wingspan

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX -16.24Rank 58Record 1-6-1Status establishedConfidence 86

2152S*M*A*S*H

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 26.23Rank 44Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9750, 7072, 11103

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.3 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9750, 7072, 11103

Auto

9.2 18%

Teleop

43.3 83%

Endgame

-0.1 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11363, 7431, 2152

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11363, 7431, 2152

Auto

18.9 83%

Teleop

9.9 43%

Endgame

-6.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score53.3pts

Blue projected score24.7pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 28.6
Score range: 6–72
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 88 vs event baseline 107.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

194.5Season APEX223.8

9.2Auto18.9

43.3Teleop9.9

-0.1Endgame-6

48Consistency67

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	13
teleop	8	18
endgame	20	10
foul	5	0
total	47	41

Result

Final score

47 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 11.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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