Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

243.79 – 69.31

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

266 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.6 ±16.4

8057All Wired Up

Provisional

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 22.15Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

1523MARS (Mega Awesome Robotic Systems)

Season APEX 66Event APEX -3.31Rank 24Record 4-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

180S.P.A.M.

Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 224.95Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241 ±16.8

9404Forge

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 17.59Rank 48Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10219Bathtub Chickens

Season APEX 109.5Event APEX 49.02Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9728Rebel Robotics-BGCCF Joe R Lee Branch

Provisional

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 2.7Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8057, 1523, 180

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 8057, 1523, 180

Auto

48.7 20%

Teleop

144.6 59%

Endgame

53.3 22%

Strengths

· 180 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9404, 10219, 9728

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.3 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9404, 10219, 9728

Auto

23.1 34%

Teleop

29.5 43%

Endgame

15.6 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score243.8pts

Blue projected score69.3pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 174.5
Score range: 50–263
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 105.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.6Season APEX241

48.7Auto23.1

144.6Teleop29.5

53.3Endgame15.6

11Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	12
teleop	151	32
endgame	61	32
foul	0	0
total	266	76

Result

Final score

266 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 14.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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