Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

134.43 – 113.76

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 114

Prediction missed · off by 27.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.5 ±14.1

6473Rock Star Robotics

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 14.67Rank 31Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 74.14Rank 19Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1744Robo-Rays Robotics

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 45.62Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 274 ±17

431PinkZilla

Provisional

Season APEX 98.9Event APEX 37.81Rank 20Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8841OTTER

Season APEX 127.7Event APEX 81.72Rank 5Record 6-1-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10228Phoenix Robotics

Season APEX 47.4Event APEX -5.77Rank 46Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6473, 5410, 1744

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6473, 5410, 1744

Auto

33.5 26%

Teleop

67.9 53%

Endgame

26.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 431, 8841, 10228

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.8 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 431, 8841, 10228

Auto

31.7 28%

Teleop

65.1 58%

Endgame

16.3 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score134.4pts

Blue projected score113.8pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 20.7
Score range: 95–153
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 194 vs event baseline 105.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.5Season APEX274

33.5Auto31.7

67.9Teleop65.1

26.6Endgame16.3

56Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	25
teleop	37	67
endgame	19	22
foul	0	0
total	80	114

Result

Final score

80 – 114

Prediction missed · off by 27.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.