Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

110.05 – 101.71

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 183

Prediction missed · off by 50.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 314 ±16.9

11282Tri-Force

Provisional

Season APEX 62Event APEX 2.01Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

8817Buccaneer Robotics

Season APEX 159.5Event APEX 93.22Rank 10Record 5-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2797Knight & Nerdy

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 14.82Rank 29Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 384 ±16

86Team Resistance

Season APEX 141.4Event APEX 35.09Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4024TechnoSaints

Provisional

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 1.82Rank 35Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

386Team Voltage

Season APEX 199Event APEX 64.8Rank 13Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11282, 8817, 2797

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 11282, 8817, 2797

Auto

14.7 13%

Teleop

71.9 64%

Endgame

26.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 86, 4024, 386

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.7 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 86, 4024, 386

Auto

22.5 23%

Teleop

50.3 50%

Endgame

26.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score110.1pts

Blue projected score101.7pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.3
Score range: 83–129
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 273 vs event baseline 104.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

314Season APEX384

14.7Auto22.5

71.9Teleop50.3

26.1Endgame26.9

6Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	37
teleop	59	80
endgame	8	61
foul	0	5
total	90	183

Result

Final score

90 – 183

Prediction missed · off by 50.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.