Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

107.21 – 66.28

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

184 – 186

Prediction missed · off by 98.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.1 ±16.4

801Horsepower

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 49.41Rank 8Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 68.16Rank 19Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10017GPS Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX -10.36Rank 57Record 1-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.6 ±19.3

11363Pickle Squad

Provisional

Season APEX 57.5Event APEX 2.03Rank 32Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 76.15Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9728Rebel Robotics-BGCCF Joe R Lee Branch

Provisional

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX -11.9Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 801, 5410, 10017

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 801, 5410, 10017

Auto

37.4 34%

Teleop

57.2 52%

Endgame

14.7 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11363, 3932, 9728

/ 100 compat

Projected

66.3 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11363, 3932, 9728

Auto

19.2 30%

Teleop

37.4 58%

Endgame

8.1 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score107.2pts

Blue projected score66.3pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 40.9
Score range: 47–126
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 105.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272.1Season APEX313.6

37.4Auto19.2

57.2Teleop37.4

14.7Endgame8.1

77Consistency115

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	30
teleop	113	83
endgame	22	73
foul	0	0
total	184	186

Result

Final score

184 – 186

Prediction missed · off by 98.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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