Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

54.2 – 99.98

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 200.8 ±20.5

8057All Wired Up

Provisional

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 18.36Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11097TROPICAL FORCE

Provisional

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX 1.52Rank 23Record 4-3-1Status provisionalConfidence 70

3627The Jungle Robotics

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 34.32Rank 53Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.9 ±17.5

5993Istech Robotics Society

Provisional

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 83.21Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10323DeMolay Dynamics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 13.44Rank 41Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

10981Jo-Bees

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 3.33Rank 30Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8057, 11097, 3627

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.2 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8057, 11097, 3627

Auto

14.6 28%

Teleop

25.1 48%

Endgame

13.1 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5993, 10323, 10981

/ 100 compat

Projected

100 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5993, 10323, 10981

Auto

11.8 12%

Teleop

48.1 49%

Endgame

38.5 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score54.2pts

Blue projected score100pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.8
Score range: 35–119
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 202 vs event baseline 105.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

200.8Season APEX232.9

14.6Auto11.8

25.1Teleop48.1

13.1Endgame38.5

26Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	19
teleop	34	74
endgame	17	49
foul	0	0
total	60	142

Result

Final score

60 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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