Qualification · Qualification 50
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
79.98 – 271.68
8%92%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
161 – 358
Prediction correct · off by 83.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.7 ±17.7
Season APEX 100.6Event APEX 22.29Rank 22Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89
6527RamShock
Provisional
Season APEX 65Event APEX 11.55Rank 50Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70
Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 46.14Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 446.3 ±16.2
431PinkZilla
Provisional
Season APEX 98.9Event APEX 27.84Rank 20Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 38.92Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89
Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 204.92Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7072, 6527, 8324
53
/ 100 compatProjected
80 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 7072, 6527, 8324
Auto
13.9 17%
Teleop
46.4 57%
Endgame
21.0 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 431, 1744, 180
83
/ 100 compatProjected
271.7 pts
~2.4 RP (regional)
Teams: 431, 1744, 180
Auto
72.4 27%
Teleop
123.4 46%
Endgame
74.8 28%
Strengths
- · 180 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.64 · Blue 2.36
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score80pts
Blue projected score271.7pts
Red win probability8%
Event bonus sample186alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -191.7
- Score range
- 62–290
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
279.7Season APEX446.3
13.9Auto72.4
46.4Teleop123.4
21Endgame74.8
25Consistency5
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 63 |
| teleop | 89 | 231 |
| endgame | 56 | 64 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 161 | 358 |
Result
Final score
161 – 358
Prediction correct · off by 83.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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