Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

95.27 – 41.98

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

199 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 416.9 ±16.8

9670The Gadgeteers of St. Johns County

Provisional

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX 15.5Rank 39Record 2-5-1Status provisionalConfidence 70

233The Pink Team

Season APEX 212.2Event APEX 52.29Rank 2Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

86Team Resistance

Season APEX 141.4Event APEX 27.48Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.2 ±19.3

11222STAXX, Sponsored by NASA

Provisional

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 13.36Rank 47Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

6722LED Robotics

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX -0.61Rank 54Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10211Cyber Colts

Season APEX 56Event APEX 29.23Rank 40Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9670, 233, 86

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9670, 233, 86

Auto

-2.8 0%

Teleop

63.0 69%

Endgame

31.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11222, 6722, 10211

/ 100 compat

Projected

42 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 11222, 6722, 10211

Auto

17.1 40%

Teleop

11.3 27%

Endgame

14.2 33%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.82 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score95.3pts

Blue projected score42pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.3
Score range: 23–114
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 303 vs event baseline 103.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

416.9Season APEX186.2

-2.8Auto17.1

63Teleop11.3

31.1Endgame14.2

102Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	12
teleop	116	45
endgame	61	47
foul	5	0
total	199	104

Result

Final score

199 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 82.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.