Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.19 – 197.38

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

138 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 318.4 ±16.9

3627The Jungle Robotics

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 21Rank 53Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

9300Olympians

Provisional

Season APEX 32.6Event APEX -5.13Rank 56Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 65.32Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 489.1 ±13.5

8159Golden Horn

Season APEX 278.3Event APEX 107.3Rank 4Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8324MECO Robotics

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 46.87Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1744Robo-Rays Robotics

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 43.21Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3627, 9300, 3932

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3627, 9300, 3932

Auto

10.9 14%

Teleop

48.0 61%

Endgame

20.0 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8159, 8324, 1744

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.4 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8159, 8324, 1744

Auto

39.3 20%

Teleop

114.4 59%

Endgame

41.3 21%

Strengths

· 8159 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.72 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score81.2pts

Blue projected score197.4pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116.2
Score range: 62–216
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 103.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

318.4Season APEX489.1

10.9Auto39.3

48Teleop114.4

20Endgame41.3

107Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	61
teleop	68	94
endgame	48	21
foul	0	5
total	138	181

Result

Final score

138 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 36.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.