Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

59.17 – 46.07

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

42 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 209.7 ±20.8

10211Cyber Colts

Season APEX 56Event APEX 25.49Rank 40Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9728Rebel Robotics-BGCCF Joe R Lee Branch

Provisional

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 9.46Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

431PinkZilla

Provisional

Season APEX 98.9Event APEX 24.22Rank 20Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.8 ±20.5

3627The Jungle Robotics

Season APEX 84.5Event APEX 28.22Rank 53Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

6322OneClay ARMORY

Provisional

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 9.02Rank 45Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

11282Tri-Force

Provisional

Season APEX 62Event APEX 8.83Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10211, 9728, 431

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.2 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 10211, 9728, 431

Auto

16.7 28%

Teleop

22.8 39%

Endgame

19.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3627, 6322, 11282

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 3627, 6322, 11282

Auto

13.7 31%

Teleop

20.6 47%

Endgame

9.2 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.4 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score59.2pts

Blue projected score46.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.1
Score range: 22–83
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 72 vs event baseline 130.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

209.7Season APEX190.8

16.7Auto13.7

22.8Teleop20.6

19.5Endgame9.2

15Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	11
teleop	23	12
endgame	1	7
foul	0	0
total	42	30

Result

Final score

42 – 30

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.