Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.85 – 141.59

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

131 – 169

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.4 ±15

7717Steam Punks

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 42.71Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5842Royal Robotics

Season APEX 82.5Event APEX 5.81Rank 27Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1744Robo-Rays Robotics

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 33.33Rank 14Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368.7 ±15.9

9404Forge

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 22.45Rank 48Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11282Tri-Force

Provisional

Season APEX 62Event APEX 14.2Rank 37Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

179Children of the Swamp

Season APEX 230Event APEX 104.94Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7717, 5842, 1744

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.9 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7717, 5842, 1744

Auto

20.3 24%

Teleop

37.5 44%

Endgame

26.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9404, 11282, 179

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9404, 11282, 179

Auto

39.5 28%

Teleop

83.4 58%

Endgame

20.0 14%

Strengths

· 179 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score81.9pts

Blue projected score141.6pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.7
Score range: 63–161
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 300 vs event baseline 103.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.4Season APEX368.7

20.3Auto39.5

37.5Teleop83.4

26.8Endgame20

70Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	18
teleop	70	118
endgame	48	33
foul	0	0
total	131	169

Result

Final score

131 – 169

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.