Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.76 – 46.62

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

226 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 317.1 ±16.5

5993Istech Robotics Society

Provisional

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 70.48Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8324MECO Robotics

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 64.61Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8841OTTER

Season APEX 127.7Event APEX 97.67Rank 5Record 6-1-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.4 ±20

1592Bionic Tigers

Season APEX 120.3Event APEX -0.44Rank 16Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

155712 Volt Bolt

Provisional

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 16.8Rank 51Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9160YAL THUNDERS

Provisional

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 30.26Rank 34Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5993, 8324, 8841

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.8 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5993, 8324, 8841

Auto

27.6 12%

Teleop

137.6 59%

Endgame

66.8 29%

Strengths

· 8841 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1592, 1557, 9160

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.6 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1592, 1557, 9160

Auto

12.8 29%

Teleop

23.6 53%

Endgame

8.5 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score232.8pts

Blue projected score46.6pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 186.1
Score range: 29–251
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 98.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

317.1Season APEX232.4

27.6Auto12.8

137.6Teleop23.6

66.8Endgame8.5

48Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	22
teleop	138	51
endgame	45	31
foul	0	0
total	226	104

Result

Final score

226 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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