Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

116.36 – 84.47

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

159 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.8 ±16.5

1523MARS (Mega Awesome Robotic Systems)

Season APEX 66Event APEX -0.29Rank 24Record 4-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5993Istech Robotics Society

Provisional

Season APEX 75.3Event APEX 76.09Rank 12Record 5-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10219Bathtub Chickens

Season APEX 109.5Event APEX 40.56Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 308.6 ±14.1

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 48.62Rank 19Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6722LED Robotics

Season APEX 75.4Event APEX 34.69Rank 54Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

79Team 79 Krunch

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 1.16Rank 55Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1523, 5993, 10219

/ 100 compat

Projected

116.4 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1523, 5993, 10219

Auto

25.0 21%

Teleop

64.5 55%

Endgame

26.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5410, 6722, 79

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.5 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5410, 6722, 79

Auto

24.0 28%

Teleop

44.5 52%

Endgame

16.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score116.4pts

Blue projected score84.5pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.9
Score range: 60–140
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 130.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.8Season APEX308.6

25Auto24

64.5Teleop44.5

26.8Endgame16.9

51Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	19
teleop	96	39
endgame	37	10
foul	0	0
total	159	68

Result

Final score

159 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 29.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.