Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

20.57 – 131.84

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 77.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 370.7 ±16.9

79Team 79 Krunch

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 7.58Rank 55Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10650Robonoles Robotics Team

Provisional

Season APEX 55.3Event APEX -2.02Rank 43Record 3-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

3932The Dirty Mechanics

Season APEX 201.3Event APEX 15.01Rank 6Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 493.3 ±16.9

11097TROPICAL FORCE

Provisional

Season APEX 52.4Event APEX -1.28Rank 23Record 4-3-1Status provisionalConfidence 70

180S.P.A.M.

Season APEX 250.7Event APEX 87.41Rank 1Record 8-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7717Steam Punks

Season APEX 190.2Event APEX 45.71Rank 21Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 79, 10650, 3932

/ 100 compat

Projected

20.6 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 79, 10650, 3932

Auto

4.6 25%

Teleop

16.6 90%

Endgame

-2.8 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11097, 180, 7717

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 11097, 180, 7717

Auto

32.3 25%

Teleop

67.5 51%

Endgame

31.8 24%

Strengths

· 180 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score20.6pts

Blue projected score131.8pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -111.3
Score range: 4–149
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 308 vs event baseline 96.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

370.7Season APEX493.3

4.6Auto32.3

16.6Teleop67.5

-2.8Endgame31.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	0	56
teleop	31	121
endgame	25	75
foul	0	0
total	56	252

Result

Final score

56 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 77.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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