Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

80.59 – 37.72

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 85.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 419.6 ±12.4

179Children of the Swamp

Season APEX 230Event APEX 44.27Rank 3Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5410Eaglebotics

Season APEX 119.1Event APEX 19.43Rank 19Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3164Stealth Tigers

Season APEX 70.5Event APEX 16.89Rank 17Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.1 ±16.8

6527RamShock

Provisional

Season APEX 65Event APEX 8Rank 50Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

9404Forge

Season APEX 76.7Event APEX 5.43Rank 48Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

86Team Resistance

Season APEX 141.4Event APEX 24.29Rank 15Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 179, 5410, 3164

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 179, 5410, 3164

Auto

13.5 18%

Teleop

61.7 81%

Endgame

1.2 2%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6527, 9404, 86

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6527, 9404, 86

Auto

15.1 41%

Teleop

16.9 46%

Endgame

4.4 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score80.6pts

Blue projected score37.7pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.9
Score range: 21–98
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 290 vs event baseline 92.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

419.6Season APEX283.1

13.5Auto15.1

61.7Teleop16.9

1.2Endgame4.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	28
teleop	100	47
endgame	36	28
foul	0	0
total	187	103

Result

Final score

187 – 103

Prediction correct · off by 85.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.