Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
466.85 – 621.56
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
559 – 678
Prediction correct · off by 74.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 799 ±9.3
Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 134.81Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 207.58Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 124.46Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 858.5 ±8.8
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 250.41Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 181.42Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 189.73Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1058, 4678, 5847
75
/ 100 compatProjected
466.9 pts
~1.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 1058, 4678, 5847
Auto
116.8 25%
Teleop
248.1 54%
Endgame
97.2 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1325, 6941, 176
89
/ 100 compatProjected
621.6 pts
~2.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 1325, 6941, 176
Auto
138.9 23%
Teleop
338.0 55%
Endgame
139.5 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 20%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.53
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score466.9pts
Blue projected score621.6pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 21%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -154.7
- Score range
- 395–694
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
799Season APEX858.5
116.8Auto138.9
248.1Teleop338
97.2Endgame139.5
92Consistency125
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 123 | 128 |
| teleop | 249 | 404 |
| endgame | 162 | 141 |
| foul | 25 | 5 |
| total | 559 | 678 |
Result
Final score
559 – 678
Prediction correct · off by 74.3 pts
Match videos
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