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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Daly Division

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

606.4 – 510.09

77%23%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

648 – 651

Prediction missed · off by 91.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 858.5 ±8.8
1325Inverse Paradox
A+
Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 244.46Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6941IronPulse Robotics
A
Season APEX 267.4Event APEX 177.13Rank 24Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
176Aces High
A
Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 184.81Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 790.7 ±9.3
6017PrepaTec - Cyberius
B
Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 166.66Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1156Under Control
A
Season APEX 256Event APEX 161.18Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
2073EagleForce
A+
Season APEX 315Event APEX 182.25Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1325, 6941, 176
90
/ 100 compat
Projected
606.4 pts
~2.3 RP (championship)
Teams: 1325, 6941, 176
Auto
135.2 22%
Teleop
320.1 53%
Endgame
146.0 24%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 21%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6017, 1156, 2073
76
/ 100 compat
Projected
510.1 pts
~1.1 RP (championship)
Teams: 6017, 1156, 2073
Auto
77.6 15%
Teleop
305.1 60%
Endgame
121.6 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 21%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.33 · Blue 1.12
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score606.4pts
Blue projected score510.1pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
96.3
Score range
439–677
Upset likelihood
23%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
Close match
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 1299 vs event baseline 395.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

858.5Season APEX790.7
135.2Auto77.6
320.1Teleop305.1
146Endgame121.6
136Consistency102

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto15277
teleop371391
endgame120183
foul50
total648651

Result

Final score

648 – 651

Prediction missed · off by 91.3 pts

Match videos

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