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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
Daly Division

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

542.68 – 513.21

59%41%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

583 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 112.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 837.9 ±9.3
3538RoboJackets
A+
Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 238.58Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4028The Beak Squad
A
Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 185.28Rank 3Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
9094The Earthquakers
A
Season APEX 256Event APEX 118.82Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 792 ±9.3
7520Team MineKee
A
Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 149.93Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
4678CyberCavs
A+
Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 224.68Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
5847Ironclad
A
Season APEX 248.6Event APEX 138.6Rank 36Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 4028, 9094
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
542.7 pts
~2.0 RP (championship)
Teams: 3538, 4028, 9094
Auto
111.9 21%
Teleop
287.2 54%
Endgame
133.6 25%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7520, 4678, 5847
80
/ 100 compat
Projected
513.2 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 7520, 4678, 5847
Auto
108.1 21%
Teleop
270.3 53%
Endgame
130.3 26%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.98 · Blue 1.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score542.7pts
Blue projected score513.2pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 20%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
29.5
Score range
442–614
Upset likelihood
41%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff
Standard match.

Combined score 912 vs event baseline 394.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

837.9Season APEX792
111.9Auto108.1
287.2Teleop270.3
133.6Endgame130.3
101Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto15059
teleop316152
endgame117113
foul05
total583329

Result

Final score

583 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 112.3 pts

Match videos

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