Qualification · Qualification 98
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
445.33 – 321.78
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
468 – 466
Prediction correct · off by 83.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 729.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 234.3Event APEX 80.7Rank 39Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.7Event APEX 233.89Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 130.74Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 654 ±9.8
Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 147.75Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 216.5Event APEX 99.55Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 184.6Event APEX 74.48Rank 59Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8724, 3478, 1058
73
/ 100 compatProjected
445.3 pts
~2.4 RP (championship)
Teams: 8724, 3478, 1058
Auto
92.2 21%
Teleop
253.0 58%
Endgame
92.4 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5937, 3100, 2530
61
/ 100 compatProjected
321.8 pts
~0.9 RP (championship)
Teams: 5937, 3100, 2530
Auto
51.9 17%
Teleop
158.9 51%
Endgame
99.2 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 16%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.9
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score445.3pts
Blue projected score321.8pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 123.6
- Score range
- 252–515
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
729.1Season APEX654
92.2Auto51.9
253Teleop158.9
92.4Endgame99.2
125Consistency142
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 136 | 95 |
| teleop | 233 | 236 |
| endgame | 84 | 130 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 468 | 466 |
Result
Final score
468 – 466
Prediction correct · off by 83.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.