Qualification · Qualification 97

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

190.29 – 238.98

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

260 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 80.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 470.5 ±11

3990Tech for Kids

Season APEX 192.3Event APEX 58.43Rank 71Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3008Team Magma

Season APEX 105.3Event APEX 21.13Rank 62Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 110.73Rank 54Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 652.8 ±10.5

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 135.05Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9094The Earthquakers

Season APEX 256Event APEX 99.48Rank 40Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10229Event Horizon

Season APEX 145.5Event APEX 4.45Rank 74Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3990, 3008, 1880

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.3 pts

~1.1 RP (championship)

Teams: 3990, 3008, 1880

Auto

64.6 36%

Teleop

89.2 49%

Endgame

26.8 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2338, 9094, 10229

/ 100 compat

Projected

239 pts

~1.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 2338, 9094, 10229

Auto

32.7 13%

Teleop

126.1 51%

Endgame

87.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 32%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score190.3pts

Blue projected score239pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 32%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -48.7
Score range: 120–309
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 591 vs event baseline 390.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

470.5Season APEX652.8

64.6Auto32.7

89.2Teleop126.1

26.8Endgame87.1

162Consistency131

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	100
teleop	149	153
endgame	58	73
foul	0	5
total	260	331

Result

Final score

260 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 80.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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