Qualification · Qualification 95

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

363.32 – 246.74

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

473 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 96.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 699.7 ±10.7

3538RoboJackets

A+

Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 243.48Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7712ACCN UMOJA

Season APEX 183Event APEX 91.76Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6106PrepaTec - TecGear

Season APEX 221Event APEX 28.08Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 566.1 ±13.3

3646INTEGRA BAHCESEHIR

Season APEX 124.1Event APEX 100.51Rank 65Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10002BotBuilders

Season APEX 195.3Event APEX 67.05Rank 75Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6998Unipards

Season APEX 246.7Event APEX 79.18Rank 49Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3538, 7712, 6106

/ 100 compat

Projected

363.3 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 3538, 7712, 6106

Auto

87.9 25%

Teleop

200.7 57%

Endgame

63.5 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3646, 10002, 6998

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.7 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 3646, 10002, 6998

Auto

33.2 15%

Teleop

111.9 49%

Endgame

82.6 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score363.3pts

Blue projected score246.7pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 116.6
Score range: 177–433
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 636 vs event baseline 390.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

699.7Season APEX566.1

87.9Auto33.2

200.7Teleop111.9

63.5Endgame82.6

149Consistency166

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	21
teleop	284	88
endgame	94	49
foul	20	5
total	473	163

Result

Final score

473 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 96.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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