Qualification · Qualification 93

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

284.48 – 375.13

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

237 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 618 ±9.8

5550BRONChO BOTS

Season APEX 184.7Event APEX 55.27Rank 50Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 107.89Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 121.32Rank 16Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 626.2 ±10

6391Ursuline Bearbotics

Season APEX 180Event APEX 79.51Rank 56Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3880Tiki Techs

Season APEX 132.6Event APEX 30.7Rank 51Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 264.92Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5550, 8393, 4188

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.5 pts

~1.2 RP (championship)

Teams: 5550, 8393, 4188

Auto

51.9 18%

Teleop

129.3 46%

Endgame

100.2 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6391, 3880, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

375.1 pts

~2.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 6391, 3880, 1325

Auto

87.0 23%

Teleop

195.2 52%

Endgame

91.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 21%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.21 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score284.5pts

Blue projected score375.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 21%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -90.6
Score range: 213–446
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 648 vs event baseline 392.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

618Season APEX626.2

51.9Auto87

129.3Teleop195.2

100.2Endgame91.9

50Consistency162

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	32
teleop	109	235
endgame	70	114
foul	5	30
total	237	411

Result

Final score

237 – 411

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.