Qualification · Qualification 92

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

221.38 – 402.99

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

230 – 557

Prediction correct · off by 81.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.4 ±10.4

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 132.83Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 45.64Rank 41Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

303The T.E.S.T. Team

Season APEX 178.5Event APEX 42.91Rank 72Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 779.2 ±13.5

3339BumbleB

A+

Season APEX 296.4Event APEX 117.37Rank 35Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 77

11141AlphaZ

Season APEX 218.1Event APEX 121.76Rank 63Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 163.86Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10213, 11178, 303

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.4 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 10213, 11178, 303

Auto

63.4 30%

Teleop

99.3 47%

Endgame

50.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3339, 11141, 5813

/ 100 compat

Projected

403 pts

~2.4 RP (championship)

Teams: 3339, 11141, 5813

Auto

81.8 20%

Teleop

263.0 65%

Endgame

59.0 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.76 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score221.4pts

Blue projected score403pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -181.6
Score range: 150–474
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 787 vs event baseline 392.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.4Season APEX779.2

63.4Auto81.8

99.3Teleop263

50.2Endgame59

121Consistency169

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	92
teleop	134	335
endgame	55	130
foul	5	0
total	230	557

Result

Final score

230 – 557

Prediction correct · off by 81.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

Match videos

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