Qualification · Qualification 90

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

391.38 – 639.9

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

379 – 617

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 666.9 ±9.3

2883F.R.E.D (FIRST Robotics Engineering and Design)

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 146.61Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7520Team MineKee

Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 177.39Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6696Cardinal Dynamics

Season APEX 204.3Event APEX 67.38Rank 37Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 911.5 ±9.3

4674RoboJacks

Season APEX 193Event APEX 157.02Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 79.94Rank 55Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 402.94Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2883, 7520, 6696

/ 100 compat

Projected

391.4 pts

~0.9 RP (championship)

Teams: 2883, 7520, 6696

Auto

57.4 15%

Teleop

224.9 59%

Endgame

101.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4674, 1538, 4414

/ 100 compat

Projected

639.9 pts

~2.7 RP (championship)

Teams: 4674, 1538, 4414

Auto

122.7 20%

Teleop

352.4 56%

Endgame

149.0 24%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score391.4pts

Blue projected score639.9pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 22%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -248.5
Score range: 321–710
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 996 vs event baseline 391.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

666.9Season APEX911.5

57.4Auto122.7

224.9Teleop352.4

101.6Endgame149

151Consistency154

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	110
teleop	195	378
endgame	119	119
foul	5	10
total	379	617

Result

Final score

379 – 617

Prediction correct · off by 17.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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