Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
208.31 – 208.31
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
398 – 563
Prediction missed · off by 272.2 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 742.7 ±10.7
Season APEX 277.5Event APEX -Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 244.2Event APEX -Rank 70Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 221Event APEX -Rank 66Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 814.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 234.3Event APEX -Rank 39Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 251.3Event APEX -Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 329.3Event APEX -Rank 5Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 176, 4065, 6106
50
/ 100 compatProjected
208.3 pts
~1.5 RP (championship)
Teams: 176, 4065, 6106
Auto
62.5 30%
Teleop
104.2 50%
Endgame
41.7 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8724, 2338, 316
50
/ 100 compatProjected
208.3 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 8724, 2338, 316
Auto
62.5 30%
Teleop
104.2 50%
Endgame
41.7 20%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score208.3pts
Blue projected score208.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 17%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 133–283
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
742.7Season APEX814.9
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 96 | 64 |
| teleop | 200 | 247 |
| endgame | 102 | 242 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 398 | 563 |
Result
Final score
398 – 563
Prediction missed · off by 272.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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