Qualification · Qualification 88

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

443.93 – 428.14

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

420 – 459

Prediction missed · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 597 ±9.8

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 212.94Rank 20Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1156Under Control

Season APEX 256Event APEX 190.64Rank 52Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1155SciBorgs

Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 40.35Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 724.5 ±10.5

5557BB-R8ERS

Season APEX 144.3Event APEX 48.76Rank 61Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2073EagleForce

A+

Season APEX 315Event APEX 216.51Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 162.87Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6017, 1156, 1155

/ 100 compat

Projected

443.9 pts

~1.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 6017, 1156, 1155

Auto

75.6 17%

Teleop

275.5 62%

Endgame

93.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5557, 2073, 340

/ 100 compat

Projected

428.1 pts

~1.5 RP (championship)

Teams: 5557, 2073, 340

Auto

79.3 19%

Teleop

241.7 57%

Endgame

101.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score443.9pts

Blue projected score428.1pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 15.8
Score range: 358–514
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 879 vs event baseline 389.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

597Season APEX724.5

75.6Auto79.3

275.5Teleop241.7

93Endgame101.4

89Consistency154

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	54
teleop	282	285
endgame	94	120
foul	5	0
total	420	459

Result

Final score

420 – 459

Prediction missed · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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