Qualification · Qualification 87
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
700.24 – 286.54
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
741 – 363
Prediction correct · off by 58.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 926 ±8.7
Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 326.73Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 295.7Event APEX 241.46Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 132.05Rank 45Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 624.9 ±8.7
Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 88.34Rank 46Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 247.1Event APEX 117.75Rank 26Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 183Event APEX 80.45Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1323, 3538, 1676
89
/ 100 compatProjected
700.2 pts
~2.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 1323, 3538, 1676
Auto
134.1 19%
Teleop
362.2 52%
Endgame
197.1 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 624, 1058, 7712
57
/ 100 compatProjected
286.5 pts
~0.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 624, 1058, 7712
Auto
41.7 14%
Teleop
166.2 57%
Endgame
84.8 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.83 · Blue 0.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score700.2pts
Blue projected score286.5pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 413.7
- Score range
- 217–770
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
926Season APEX624.9
134.1Auto41.7
362.2Teleop166.2
197.1Endgame84.8
129Consistency151
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 136 | 103 |
| teleop | 441 | 162 |
| endgame | 144 | 98 |
| foul | 20 | 0 |
| total | 741 | 363 |
Result
Final score
741 – 363
Prediction correct · off by 58.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
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