Qualification · Qualification 83

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

319.8 – 411.63

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

342 – 621

Prediction correct · off by 115.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.6 ±9.9

3656Dexter Dreadbots

Season APEX 241.4Event APEX 200.15Rank 27Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1629Garrett Coalition (GaCo)

Season APEX 218.6Event APEX 92.66Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3880Tiki Techs

Season APEX 132.6Event APEX 26.99Rank 51Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 745.7 ±9.3

5937MI Robotics

Season APEX 252.9Event APEX 128.42Rank 30Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4678CyberCavs

A+

Season APEX 303.3Event APEX 164.71Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7632An Kang Robotics Maker

Season APEX 189.5Event APEX 118.5Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3656, 1629, 3880

/ 100 compat

Projected

319.8 pts

~1.0 RP (championship)

Teams: 3656, 1629, 3880

Auto

66.1 22%

Teleop

177.4 58%

Endgame

61.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5937, 4678, 7632

/ 100 compat

Projected

411.6 pts

~2.3 RP (championship)

Teams: 5937, 4678, 7632

Auto

79.4 19%

Teleop

214.2 52%

Endgame

114.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 0.99 · Blue 2.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score319.8pts

Blue projected score411.6pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.8
Score range: 249–483
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 963 vs event baseline 392.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.6Season APEX745.7

66.1Auto79.4

177.4Teleop214.2

61.7Endgame114.6

107Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	107
teleop	150	348
endgame	112	151
foul	5	15
total	342	621

Result

Final score

342 – 621

Prediction correct · off by 115.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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