Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
212.57 – 212.57
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
275 – 439
Prediction missed · off by 144.4 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.4 ±10.5
Season APEX 105.3Event APEX -Rank 62Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 193Event APEX -Rank 25Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 240.1Event APEX -Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 714.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 315Event APEX -Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 189.5Event APEX -Rank 42Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 210.4Event APEX -Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3008, 4674, 7520
50
/ 100 compatProjected
212.6 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 3008, 4674, 7520
Auto
63.8 30%
Teleop
106.3 50%
Endgame
42.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2073, 7632, 4189
50
/ 100 compatProjected
212.6 pts
~1.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 2073, 7632, 4189
Auto
63.8 30%
Teleop
106.3 50%
Endgame
42.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score212.6pts
Blue projected score212.6pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 17%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 136–290
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
538.4Season APEX714.9
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 34 | 66 |
| teleop | 191 | 246 |
| endgame | 35 | 122 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 275 | 439 |
Result
Final score
275 – 439
Prediction missed · off by 144.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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