Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

552.68 – 396.63

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

560 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 100 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 796.7 ±9.4

10213BALTA

Season APEX 217.9Event APEX 141.07Rank 8Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

340G.R.R. (Greater Rochester Robotics)

Season APEX 265.2Event APEX 158.41Rank 7Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1325Inverse Paradox

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 253.2Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 584.4 ±9.8

999MechaRAMS

Season APEX 122.7Event APEX 115.66Rank 68Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4189Chargers

Season APEX 210.4Event APEX 117.28Rank 47Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 163.69Rank 34Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10213, 340, 1325

/ 100 compat

Projected

552.7 pts

~2.6 RP (championship)

Teams: 10213, 340, 1325

Auto

108.0 20%

Teleop

287.4 54%

Endgame

137.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 999, 4189, 2338

/ 100 compat

Projected

396.6 pts

~0.8 RP (championship)

Teams: 999, 4189, 2338

Auto

39.1 10%

Teleop

189.0 48%

Endgame

163.4 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setChampionship

Red projected score552.7pts

Blue projected score396.6pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample280alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 156
Score range: 326–624
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 764 vs event baseline 392.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

796.7Season APEX584.4

108Auto39.1

287.4Teleop189

137.3Endgame163.4

162Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	106	63
teleop	338	93
endgame	116	48
foul	0	0
total	560	204

Result

Final score

560 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 100 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable

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