Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
215.88 – 215.88
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
356 – 415
Prediction missed · off by 169.6 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 756 ±9.3
Season APEX 241.1Event APEX -Rank 17Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 295.7Event APEX -Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 219.2Event APEX -Rank 43Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 659.6 ±8.7
Season APEX 218.6Event APEX -Rank 53Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 264.7Event APEX -Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 176.3Event APEX -Rank 58Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3314, 3538, 8393
50
/ 100 compatProjected
215.9 pts
~1.8 RP (championship)
Teams: 3314, 3538, 8393
Auto
64.8 30%
Teleop
107.9 50%
Endgame
43.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1629, 5813, 5534
50
/ 100 compatProjected
215.9 pts
~1.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 1629, 5813, 5534
Auto
64.8 30%
Teleop
107.9 50%
Endgame
43.2 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 22%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score215.9pts
Blue projected score215.9pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 138–294
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
756Season APEX659.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 84 | 92 |
| teleop | 173 | 254 |
| endgame | 94 | 69 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 356 | 415 |
Result
Final score
356 – 415
Prediction missed · off by 169.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
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