Qualification · Qualification 68
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
550.67 – 278.47
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
684 – 374
Prediction correct · off by 114.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 879.1 ±9.3
Season APEX 277.5Event APEX 134.7Rank 11Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 301.34Rank 2Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 192.5Event APEX 114.63Rank 57Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 577.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 121.3Event APEX 39.2Rank 67Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 240.1Event APEX 149.53Rank 32Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 216.5Event APEX 89.74Rank 64Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 176, 1323, 9545
87
/ 100 compatProjected
550.7 pts
~2.7 RP (championship)
Teams: 176, 1323, 9545
Auto
129.9 24%
Teleop
297.2 55%
Endgame
118.1 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1155, 7520, 3100
53
/ 100 compatProjected
278.5 pts
~0.6 RP (championship)
Teams: 1155, 7520, 3100
Auto
25.5 9%
Teleop
167.3 62%
Endgame
75.8 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (championship)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setChampionship
Red projected score550.7pts
Blue projected score278.5pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample280alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Division play: bonuses harder to earn than at regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 272.2
- Score range
- 208–621
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
879.1Season APEX577.9
129.9Auto25.5
297.2Teleop167.3
118.1Endgame75.8
151Consistency154
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 139 | 41 |
| teleop | 377 | 238 |
| endgame | 168 | 80 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 684 | 374 |
Result
Final score
684 – 374
Prediction correct · off by 114.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
first-unavailable
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.